Own the gold standard ✨ in financial data & analytics
fair value · 20 million securities worldwide · 50 year history · 10 year estimates · leading business news

Subscribe for $2
Analyse
Profile
🇺🇸

United States Philly Fed Business Conditions

Price

38.7 Points
Change +/-
+24.9 Points
Percentage Change
+94.86 %

The current value of the Philly Fed Business Conditions in United States is 38.7 Points. The Philly Fed Business Conditions in United States increased to 38.7 Points on 7/1/2024, after it was 13.8 Points on 6/1/2024. From 5/1/1968 to 8/1/2024, the average GDP in United States was 33.82 Points. The all-time high was reached on 9/1/1975 with 91 Points, while the lowest value was recorded on 12/1/1973 with -39.7 Points.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Philly Fed Business Conditions

  • 3 years

  • 5 years

  • 10 years

  • 25 Years

  • Max

Philly Fed Business Climate

Philly Fed Business Conditions History

DateValue
7/1/202438.7 Points
6/1/202413.8 Points
5/1/202432.4 Points
4/1/202434.3 Points
3/1/202438.6 Points
2/1/20247.2 Points
12/1/202312.6 Points
11/1/20232.7 Points
10/1/20239.6 Points
9/1/202311.7 Points
1
2
3
4
5
...
61

Similar Macro Indicators to Philly Fed Business Conditions

NameCurrentPreviousFrequency
🇺🇸
Automobile production
11.18 M Units11.73 M UnitsMonthly
🇺🇸
Bankruptcies
20,316 Companies18,926 CompaniesQuarter
🇺🇸
Business Climate
48.5 points48.7 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Business Inventories
0.5 %0.3 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Capacity Utilization
78.7 %78.2 %Monthly
🇺🇸
CFNAI Employment Index
0 points-0.05 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
CFNAI Index for Personal Consumption and Housing
-0.02 points-0.02 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
CFNAI Production Index
-0.28 %-0.02 %Monthly
🇺🇸
CFNAI Sales, Order, and Inventory Index
-0.02 %-0.01 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Changes in Inventory Levels
69 B USD28.6 B USDQuarter
🇺🇸
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
0.18 points-0.26 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Chicago PMI
46.1 points45.3 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Composite Leading Indicator
100.231 points100.228 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Composite PMI
54.6 points54.3 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Consistency Index
143.15 points142.9 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Corn Grain Reserves
4.993 B Bushels8.347 B BushelsQuarter
🇺🇸
Corporate profits
2.727 T USD2.803 T USDQuarter
🇺🇸
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Delivery Index
2.8 points-3 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Employment Index
-2.9 points-5.3 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
-15.1 points-19.4 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Prices Paid Index
21.5 points20.4 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Production Index
0.7 points-2.8 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Dallas Fed New Order Index
-1.3 points-2.2 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Dallas Fed Service Sector Revenue Index
7.7 points1.9 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Dallas Fed Services Index
-4.1 points-12.1 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Durable Goods Orders
9.9 %-6.9 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Durable Goods Orders Excluding Defense
-0.2 %-0.5 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation
0.5 %-0.1 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Factory Orders
5 %-3.3 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Factory Orders Excluding Transportation
0.7 %0.4 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Grain Reserves Wheat
702 M Bushels1.087 B BushelsQuarter
🇺🇸
Industrial production
0.4 %-0.7 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Industrial Production MoM
0.9 %0 %Monthly
🇺🇸
ISM Manufacturing Backlog
43.6 points41.7 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM Manufacturing Deliveries
52.6 points49.8 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM Manufacturing Employment
49.3 points51.1 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM Manufacturing Inventory Levels
50.3 points44.5 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM Manufacturing Prices
52.1 points57 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM Manufacturing Production
45.9 points48.5 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM New Orders Manufacturing
49.3 points45.4 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM New Orders Non-Manufacturing
54.1 points52.2 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity
53.3 points54.5 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment
47.1 points45.9 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
58.1 points59.2 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Kansas Fed Composite Index
-8 points-2 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Kansas Fed Employment Index
-7 points-12 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index
-11 points-1 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index
-13 points-6 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index
-1 points-18 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Kansas Fed Paid Prices Index
19 points18 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Leading Indicator
101.2 points101.7 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
LMI Logistics Manager Index Future
66.1 points65.5 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
LMI Storage Costs
63.6 points65.2 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
LMI Transport Prices
61 points57.8 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
LMI Warehouse Prices
64.5 points64.9 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
LMI-Logistics Manager Index
56.5 points55.3 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Manufacturing PMI
51.6 points51.3 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Manufacturing Production
0.1 %0.6 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Manufacturing Production MoM
0.9 %-0.4 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Mining Production
-1.5 %-1.2 %Monthly
🇺🇸
New Orders
592.14 B USD563.972 B USDMonthly
🇺🇸
NFIB Business Optimism Index
90.5 points89.7 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
NY Empire State Employment Index
-8.7 points-6.4 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
-6 points-15.6 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
-1 points-16.5 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
3.3 points-1.2 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
NY Empire State Prices Paid Index
23.4 points26.5 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Orders for Capital Goods Excluding Defense and Aircraft
1 %-0.9 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
1.3 points4.5 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Philly Fed CAPEX Index
12.1 points20.1 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Philly Fed Employment
-2.5 points-7.9 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Philly Fed New Orders
-2.2 points-7.9 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Philly Fed Prices Paid
22.5 points18.7 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
PMI Non-Manufacturing Sector
53.8 points49.4 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Retail Inventory Excluding Autos
0.5 %0.3 %Monthly
🇺🇸
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
-10 points0 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments
-9 points13 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Richmond Fed Services Index
-11 points5 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Services PMI
55.1 points54.8 pointsMonthly
🇺🇸
Soybean Grain Reserves
969 M Bushels1.845 B BushelsQuarter
🇺🇸
Steel production
6.9 M Tonnes6.7 M TonnesMonthly
🇺🇸
Total Vehicle Sales
15.13 M 15.82 M Monthly
🇺🇸
Vehicle Registrations
279,800 261,300 Monthly
🇺🇸
Wholesale Inventory Levels
0.6 %0.2 %Monthly

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index is derived from the Business Outlook Survey of manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District. Survey participants assess the direction of change in overall business activity and various metrics at their facilities, including employment, working hours, new and unfilled orders, shipments, inventories, delivery times, prices paid, and prices received. An index value above 0 signifies growth in the factory sector, while a value below 0 indicates contraction.

What is Philly Fed Business Conditions?

The "Philly Fed Business Conditions" indicator, officially known as the Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey, is a key barometer of economic health within the Third Federal Reserve District, which includes Eastern Pennsylvania, Southern New Jersey, and Delaware. Eulerpool takes pride in providing meticulously curated macroeconomic data, and the Philly Fed Business Conditions index is one of the pivotal data points we offer to economists, financial analysts, investors, and policymakers for gauging the state of manufacturing and the broader economy in this bustling region. The Philadelphia Fed Business Conditions index is based on a monthly survey of manufacturers conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The survey collects data on the current and future pace of business activity in the region, making it an invaluable resource for those seeking to understand the underlying dynamics of the regional economy. Since its inception in 1968, this survey has evolved into one of the most closely watched economic indicators, offering a real-time snapshot of the manufacturing sector's health. Each month, approximately 150 participants from the manufacturing sector—including executives and senior managers—respond to a set of questions covering various aspects of their business, including general business activity, new orders, shipments, employment, and prices paid for raw materials. These responses are then compiled into several diffusion indexes, which distill complex economic conditions into easily interpretable metrics. The most prominent of these is the General Activity Index, which is the headline figure most often cited in media reports and economic analyses. A reading above zero in the General Activity Index indicates that manufacturing conditions are improving, while a reading below zero suggests a contraction. This clear, binary mode of interpretation makes the Philly Fed Business Conditions index an indispensable tool for market participants. Financial markets, including equities, foreign exchange, and fixed income, often react sharply to the monthly release, underscoring its significance. For example, a higher-than-expected reading can bolster investor confidence, lead to rising stock prices, and strengthen the local currency, reflecting optimism about the economy’s direction. Conversely, a lower-than-expected reading can trigger a sell-off in equities and a flight to safe-haven assets. What makes the Philly Fed Business Conditions survey particularly influential is its timeliness. Released early in the month, it offers one of the first comprehensive looks at economic activity for the current month, ahead of many national indicators like the Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Index and the official employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This early availability provides an invaluable "first read" on current economic conditions, allowing policymakers and business leaders to react promptly to changing economic landscapes. Moreover, the survey does not just report on current conditions but also includes forward-looking components. For instance, respondents are asked about their expectations for business conditions over the next six months, providing insights into future economic activity. This forward-looking perspective helps businesses in planning and strategy formation, policymakers in decision-making, and investors in anticipating economic trends and positioning their portfolios accordingly. At Eulerpool, we recognize the importance of contextualizing the Philly Fed Business Conditions index within broader economic narratives. Understanding the underlying factors driving changes in the index requires an appreciation of both local and global economic contexts. For the Third Federal Reserve District, industries such as pharmaceuticals, chemicals, electronic equipment, and food manufacturing play significant roles. Fluctuations in these industries, driven by factors ranging from global supply chain disruptions to local regulatory changes, can significantly impact the survey’s findings. For example, in times of economic turmoil such as recessions or global financial crises, the Philly Fed Business Conditions index often mirrors the broader trends of economic distress. During the COVID-19 pandemic, for instance, the index plummeted to historically low levels as factories shut down and demand evaporated. Conversely, during periods of robust economic growth, the index often reaches high positive values, signaling expansion in manufacturing activity and overall economic vitality. However, this indicator is not without its limitations. The Philly Fed Business Conditions survey focuses primarily on manufacturing, a sector that, while vital, represents only a portion of the economy. Other sectors such as services, retail, and construction also substantially contribute to economic health, and their activities are not directly captured by this survey. Therefore, it is crucial to use this index in conjunction with other economic indicators to form a comprehensive view of the economic landscape. At Eulerpool, we strive to enhance the usability of the Philly Fed Business Conditions data by offering sophisticated visualization tools and analytical capabilities. Users can track trends over time, compare the data against other regional and national indicators, and incorporate it into broader economic models. By providing high-quality, easily accessible economic data, we empower our users to make informed decisions grounded in robust empirical evidence. In conclusion, the Philly Fed Business Conditions index is an essential component of our macroeconomic data offerings at Eulerpool. Its timely release, clear interpretability, and forward-looking nature make it a critical tool for understanding regional economic conditions and anticipating future economic trends. By providing detailed and contextualized data, Eulerpool ensures that economists, analysts, and decision-makers have the insights they need to navigate the complexities of today’s economic landscape.