The Tengri Partners Kazakhstan Manufacturing PMI™ is compiled by IHS Markit based on responses from purchasing managers in a panel of approximately 250 manufacturers. This panel is stratified by detailed sector and company workforce size, in line with their contributions to GDP. Survey responses are gathered in the second half of each month and indicate the direction of change compared to the previous month. A diffusion index is calculated for each survey variable, where the index is the sum of the percentage of ‘higher’ responses and half the percentage of ‘unchanged’ responses. These indices range from 0 to 100, with readings above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and readings below 50 indicating an overall decrease. The indices are seasonally adjusted. The headline figure, known as the Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI), is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%), and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation, the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted to align its movement directionally with the other indices.

What is Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)?

Manufacturing PMI, or Purchasing Managers' Index, is a critically important economic indicator that assesses the health and performance of the manufacturing sector. Frequently tracked and analyzed by economists, investors, and policymakers, the PMI offers a comprehensive insight into the prevailing business conditions of the manufacturing industry, an essential component of the broader economy. At eulerpool, where our primary aim is to present macroeconomic data with clarity and precision, we recognize the significance of the Manufacturing PMI in shaping economic landscapes and informing strategic decisions. The Manufacturing PMI is based on a survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector and gauges a number of key variables, including new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries, and employment. The survey results are compiled into a single index number which provides a snapshot of the manufacturing sector's performance. A PMI reading above 50 indicates an expansion in the manufacturing sector, whereas a reading below 50 signifies contraction. The further the index is from the 50-mark, the greater the rate of change. Understanding the intricacies of Manufacturing PMI can substantially benefit stakeholders. For manufacturers, a higher PMI score suggests robust demand, encouraging higher production levels, potential expansion of facilities, and increased hiring. Conversely, a lower PMI might trigger strategies to mitigate risks, such as cost reductions or operational efficiencies. Investors closely monitor PMI data to predict stock market trends, as a thriving manufacturing sector often correlates with higher corporate earnings and stock prices. Additionally, policymakers use PMI readings to direct economic policies. When the PMI indicates declining manufacturing activity, it may prompt government interventions or monetary policy adjustments to stimulate growth. The Manufacturing PMI is derived from a methodology that involves survey responses from purchasing managers within key manufacturing industries. Participants are asked about changes in recent business conditions compared to the previous month, providing real-time insights into the sector's trajectory. The collected data is normalized and weighted to reflect the relative importance of each sub-sector within the manufacturing industry. By aggregating these responses, the PMI serves as a reliable compass, navigating through the intricacies of industrial performance and expectations. One of the primary advantages of the Manufacturing PMI is its timeliness. Published monthly, often ahead of other critical economic data, it offers a forward-looking perspective which helps stakeholders anticipate short-term shifts in economic activities. This preemptive insight empowers businesses and investors to make well-informed decisions, enhancing their ability to leverage opportunities or withstand potential downturns. Despite its profound influence, understanding the context of Manufacturing PMI is crucial. Industries naturally exhibit cyclical behaviors, and a single month's data should not be over-interpreted in isolation. To derive meaningful conclusions, it is prudent to analyze PMI trends over a period, considering external factors like geopolitical events, global supply chain disruptions, and changes in consumer demand. By acknowledging these factors, the PMI can be more accurately interpreted, providing a holistic view of industrial health. Global economic conditions have a palpable impact on the Manufacturing PMI, as shifts in international trade dynamics, tariffs, and foreign exchange rates can affect input costs and market access for manufacturers. As such, regional PMIs from different countries can also offer valuable comparative insights. At eulerpool, we present these global PMI figures alongside other macroeconomic data, giving our users a comprehensive view of the manufacturing landscape across geographies. It's important to note that the Manufacturing PMI should be viewed in conjunction with other economic indicators to form a coherent economic narrative. For instance, the PMI's implications can be better understood when analyzed alongside employment data, consumer confidence indices, and industrial production statistics. This multifaceted approach ensures that users grasp the broader economic climate, making more nuanced and informed decisions. Moreover, seasonal adjustments are applied to PMI data to account for periodic variations and ensure that the results reflect true economic activity, devoid of seasonal noise. This standardized approach allows for accurate comparisons over time, reinforcing the PMI's reliability as an economic barometer. In the modern economic landscape, technological advancements and innovation are reshaping manufacturing processes. The PMI, by encapsulating elements like new orders and supplier deliveries, indirectly measures the adoption and impact of these technological advancements. An uptick in new orders can signal increased demand for innovative products, while improvements in supplier deliveries may point towards better logistical solutions and efficiencies. The Manufacturing PMI also serves as a sentiment indicator, reflecting the confidence levels of purchasing managers. High confidence usually translates into higher investment in machinery, research and development, and labor, fostering an environment conducive to economic growth and innovation. This forward-looking sentiment can also predict broader economic trends, assisting governments and corporations in strategic planning. At eulerpool, we prioritize accurate, real-time macroeconomic data presentation, and the Manufacturing PMI is an integral part of this mission. By delivering comprehensive and understandable PMI data, we empower our users—be it businesses, investors, or policymakers—to navigate the economic waters with clarity and precision. Our platform strives to elucidate the complexities of macroeconomic indicators, making them accessible and actionable for informed decision-making. In summary, the Manufacturing PMI is an invaluable economic indicator that reflects the health of the manufacturing sector and offers critical insights for a wide range of stakeholders. Its timely and accurate depiction of manufacturing conditions helps shape economic policies, investment strategies, and business decisions. At eulerpool, we are committed to providing detailed and precise macroeconomic data, with the Manufacturing PMI being a cornerstone of our analytical arsenal. By understanding and utilizing this data, stakeholders can better anticipate economic trends and effectively navigate the evolving industrial landscape.