Moldovan Election Thriller: Warnings and Campaigning Against Russian Interference

The Moldovans are experiencing turbulent times in light of the upcoming presidential election runoff. Bus loudspeakers and text messages are increasingly warning of electoral fraud: citizens are advised to collect evidence and contact the police if they are offered money for a specific vote. These measures are part of a comprehensive campaign aimed at countering an "unprecedented" wave of illegal Russian money flows, which, according to authorities, are intended to manipulate the elections in favor of the Kremlin-friendly candidate Alexandr Stoianoglo. In the race for the presidency, the incumbent President Maia Sandu is running again. She has ambitious plans to further lead Moldova toward the EU. Her challenger, Stoianoglo, denies allegations of maintaining Kremlin-affiliated relationships and instead criticizes the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Nevertheless, the politician enjoys support from the pro-Russian Socialist Party and benefits from a sentiment of dissatisfaction with Sandu's economic performance, suffering under the energy crisis and the impact of the wave of Ukrainian refugees. Authorities estimate that Russia has invested around $100 million in election manipulation, partly transported by so-called "money mules," who were stopped by police at the airport. Investigation results suggest that the infiltration is deeper and more sophisticated than initially assumed. The Moldovan police have conducted a series of raids, arrested several regional actors, and uncovered a network based on a pyramid scheme designed to bribe voters. Meanwhile, authorities have warned that the impending fines are far higher than the offered bribes to discourage citizens from participating. Last week, an undercover investigation revealed how Russian-speaking recruiters are enlisting Moldovan activists to secure votes against Sandu—a worrying development that points to the intensity of attempts at Russian influence. Official sources are preparing to hold all involved accountable after the election. On election Sunday, interest was high, as reflected in long queues at polling stations in international cities. The Moldovan diaspora appeared engaged and could play a key role in the final result, expected on Monday morning. Despite vehement denials, the Kremlin continues to monitor the election closely. Representatives of the Moldovan government emphasized, "We are in uncharted territory. Such dimensions of interference are unprecedented for Moldova.