Historically High CD Rates Despite Changing Fed Decisions

Eulerpool Research Systems Dec 10, 2024

Takeaways NEW

  • CD rates remain historically high despite Fed rate cuts.
  • Long-term CDs sometimes offer lower interest rates than short-term ones due to economic uncertainties.
The Federal Reserve has lowered the key interest rate several times this year, leading to a general decline in interest rates for savings accounts. Nevertheless, the interest rates for Certificates of Deposit (CDs) remain surprisingly attractive, offering savers the opportunity to benefit from a fixed return of over 4%. Currently, short-term CDs with maturities ranging from six to twelve months offer interest rates between 4.00% and 4.50% APY. Medium-term CDs with maturities of one to three years are similarly high, although interest rates for longer-term CDs of three or more years tend to be slightly lower. A remarkable offer is the 9-month CD from Synchrony, which boasts a peak rate of 4.30% APY without a minimum deposit requirement. Such conditions invite investors to carefully consider their decision and choose the appropriate product. In the early 2000s, CDs were known for higher yields, but the global financial crisis of 2008 led to a drastic decline. At that time, the average interest rates for one-year CDs were around 1%, while five-year CDs yielded less than 2%. This trend continued into the 2010s, partly due to the Fed's monetary policy measures aimed at boosting economic growth. A turning point came between 2015 and 2018, when the Fed gradually raised interest rates, causing CD rates to rise slightly. However, the COVID-19 pandemic once again led to emergency rate cuts, resulting in new lows for CD rates. With inflation caused by the pandemic, there was a reversal when the Fed raised the key interest rates eleven times between March 2022 and July 2023. These increases led to higher yields for loans and savings products, which lasted until September 2024 when the Fed lowered the key interest rate again as inflation was under control. Currently, CD rates are starting to decline from their peak but remain high by historical standards. Traditionally, longer-term CDs offered higher interest rates than shorter terms. However, in today's economic uncertainty, it appears that the highest average rates are found in 12-month CDs, indicating a flattening or inverted yield curve.

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