Alberta Gas: Price Dynamics on the Verge of Change Thanks to LNG Exports

Eulerpool Research Systems Oct 23, 2024

Takeaways NEW

  • The future pricing influences Canada's competitive position and profitability.
  • The LNG export could reduce the price difference between AECO and Henry Hub.
The market landscape for natural gas in Alberta is facing a potential upheaval that is keeping both local producers and international investors on edge. The launch of the LNG Canada project, led by Shell, is set to take place next year and could significantly reduce the price differential between the Canadian AECO Hub and the U.S. Henry Hub. Michael Rose, CEO of leading Canadian gas producer Tourmaline Oil, predicts that the discount for AECO natural gas could decrease to about 75 Canadian cents per million British Thermal Units. This development would be particularly noteworthy given that the price difference has averaged over C$1.50 since June. This impending change in pricing is being closely monitored by industry experts, as it can significantly impact both the competitive position of Canadian gas exports and the profitability of domestic production.

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