Assured Guaranty (AGO) Stock Price

Assured Guaranty Price

NYSE·CLOSED
76.40USD+0.97 (+1.27 %)
Market closed

Over the last 19 years Assured Guaranty grew revenue by 4.8% annually, reaching 788.00 M USD. Earnings per share have grown at 8.1% per year over the last 19 years. For Assured Guaranty, the net margin of 63.8% is up versus 55.7% a few years ago. At today's price the dividend yield works out to roughly 1.78%. The payout ratio is around 13% of earnings. The dividend has grown at 12.7% per year over the past 19 years. The consensus 12-month price target for Assured Guaranty is 110.16 USD, about 44.2% above where the stock trades today. Of 7 analysts, 5 rate the stock a buy — an overall Buy consensus. The stock trades about 4% above its 52-week low.

Assured Guaranty stock price

Volume
Ex-Dividend
Details

Stock Price

ⓘ

How to Read This Chart

This chart tracks the historical stock price of Assured Guaranty over time. You can switch between daily, weekly, and monthly views and select custom time ranges — from a single day to the full available history. Use the toggle to view price changes in absolute currency terms or as a percentage change relative to the starting date.

Total Return vs. Price Return

The "Total Return" toggle includes reinvested dividends on top of the pure price movement. This is critical because dividends can account for a significant portion of long-term returns. Historically, roughly 40 % of the S&P 500's total return has come from dividends. Always compare total return when evaluating a stock's real performance against a benchmark.

Intraday Price Data

When viewing a one-day time frame, the chart displays real-time intraday price movements. This is useful for observing how Assured Guaranty stock reacts to market openings, earnings releases, or breaking news throughout the trading session.

What to Look For

Look for long-term trends (sustained upward or downward movements over months and years), support and resistance levels (price zones where the stock repeatedly bounces or reverses), and volatility (how much the price fluctuates day to day). Comparing Assured Guaranty's price chart to a market index like the S&P 500 can reveal whether the stock is outperforming or underperforming the broader market.

Assured Guaranty Stock Price History
DateAssured Guaranty Price
8/10/202676.40 USD
8/7/202675.43 USD
8/6/202682.57 USD
8/5/202682.64 USD
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7/31/202682.72 USD
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1/30/202684.85 USD
1/29/202685.17 USD
1/28/202683.60 USD
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1/12/202689.00 USD
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11/28/202590.54 USD
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11/6/202581.56 USD
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11/3/202581.35 USD
10/31/202580.58 USD
10/30/202581.87 USD
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10/22/202581.65 USD
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10/20/202581.00 USD
10/17/202579.91 USD
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10/14/202582.28 USD
10/13/202581.11 USD
10/10/202580.51 USD
10/9/202581.89 USD
10/8/202582.49 USD
10/7/202582.61 USD
10/6/202583.73 USD
10/3/202584.92 USD
10/2/202584.55 USD
10/1/202583.79 USD
9/30/202584.65 USD
9/29/202584.10 USD
9/28/202584.10 USD
9/25/202584.65 USD
9/24/202583.84 USD
9/23/202583.69 USD
9/22/202583.57 USD
9/19/202583.64 USD
9/18/202583.03 USD
9/17/202581.79 USD
9/16/202580.64 USD
9/15/202581.44 USD
9/12/202582.49 USD
9/11/202583.16 USD
9/10/202581.75 USD
9/9/202582.05 USD
9/8/202581.93 USD
9/5/202582.18 USD
9/4/202583.04 USD
9/3/202581.75 USD
9/2/202581.21 USD
8/29/202582.04 USD
8/28/202581.90 USD
8/27/202582.06 USD
8/26/202581.42 USD
8/25/202581.08 USD
8/22/202581.95 USD
8/21/202580.89 USD
8/20/202581.01 USD
8/19/202581.65 USD
8/18/202580.41 USD
8/15/202580.56 USD
8/14/202582.54 USD
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Assured Guaranty Revenue, EBIT, Net Income

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • 10 Years

  • 25 Years

  • Max

Revenue
EBIT
Net Income
Details
Date
Revenue
EBIT
Net Income
Jan 1, 2021
698.00 M USD
426.00 M USD
389.00 M USD
Jan 1, 2022
684.00 M USD
229.00 M USD
124.00 M USD
Jan 1, 2023
1.37 B USD
610.00 M USD
457.00 M USD
Jan 1, 2024
814.00 M USD
623.00 M USD
376.00 M USD
Jan 1, 2025
788.00 M USD
662.00 M USD
503.00 M USD
Jan 1, 2026 (e)
766.70 M USD
628.09 M USD
387.11 M USD
Jan 1, 2027 (e)
851.65 M USD
603.90 M USD
388.91 M USD
Jan 1, 2028 (e)
944.92 M USD
671.65 M USD
458.68 M USD

Assured Guaranty Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement

Last updated Aug 14, 2026, 12:44 AM
 
REVENUEB USD
REVENUE GROWTH%
GROSS MARGIN%
GROSS INCOMEB USD
EBITB USD
EBIT MARGIN%
NET INCOMEB USD
NET INCOME GROWTH%
DIV.USD
DIV. GROWTH%
SHARESM
20132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026e2027e2028e
1.261.741.961.381.650.990.921.080.700.681.370.810.790.770.850.94
65.4037.8012.42-29.4119.64-40.16-6.7817.70-35.61-2.01100.73-40.71-3.19-2.7911.1010.93
86.8587.3588.1882.2585.2274.9086.4381.8374.3695.6175.60100.7492.8992.8992.8992.89
1.101.521.721.141.410.740.800.890.520.651.040.820.730.710.790.88
1.141.621.531.121.090.670.550.420.430.230.610.620.660.630.600.67
90.4993.3378.3681.0965.9068.2259.6138.4761.0333.4844.4376.5484.0181.9870.8671.08
0.811.091.060.880.730.520.400.360.390.120.460.380.500.390.390.46
634.5534.65-2.94-16.57-17.14-28.63-22.84-9.957.46-68.12268.55-17.7233.78-23.060.2618.04
0.400.550.480.520.570.640.720.800.881.001.121.241.361.521.691.88
11.1137.50-12.738.339.6212.2812.5011.1110.0013.6412.0010.719.6811.7611.1811.24
183.00162.30141.50131.70118.90106.4096.1077.5070.4061.0058.3051.9049.4049.4049.4049.40
Details

Income Statement Key Figures

ⓘ

Revenue and Revenue Growth

Revenue is the starting point of every income statement — it measures the total sales Assured Guaranty generates from its core business. Revenue growth (expressed as year-over-year percentage change) is one of the most important indicators of business momentum. Sustained growth above 10 % annually is generally considered strong, while declining revenue is a serious warning sign that demands investigation.

Gross Margin

Gross margin = (Revenue − Cost of Goods Sold) ÷ Revenue. It reveals what percentage of each dollar of revenue Assured Guaranty retains after direct production costs. High gross margins (above 50 %) are typical of asset-light businesses like software and brands, while capital-intensive industries like manufacturing often operate below 30 %. Compare Assured Guaranty's gross margin to industry peers and track it over time to spot improving or deteriorating pricing power.

EBIT and EBIT Margin

EBIT measures operating profit — what remains after subtracting all operating expenses (including R&D, sales, and administrative costs) from gross profit. The EBIT margin shows this as a percentage of revenue. Because it excludes interest and taxes, EBIT allows fair comparisons between companies with different debt levels and tax jurisdictions. A rising EBIT margin indicates improving operational efficiency.

Net Income and Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Net income is the company's final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes. Dividing net income by the number of shares outstanding gives you EPS — the single most influential metric in stock valuation. Consistent EPS growth is the primary driver of long-term stock price appreciation. Always check whether EPS growth comes from genuine profit improvement or from share buybacks reducing the share count.

Shares Outstanding

The total number of shares Assured Guaranty has issued. A declining share count (through buybacks) boosts EPS and signals management confidence. A rising share count (through stock issuance) dilutes existing shareholders. Always monitor this number alongside EPS to get the full picture of per-share value creation.

Analyst Estimates

The projected figures represent consensus estimates from professional analysts. Compare these forecasts against Assured Guaranty's historical growth rates to assess whether expectations are realistic. A company that consistently beats consensus estimates tends to see its stock price rewarded over time, while repeated misses erode investor confidence.

Assured Guaranty stock margins

The Assured Guaranty margin analysis displays the gross margin, EBIT margin, as well as the profit margin of Assured Guaranty. The EBIT margin (EBIT/sales) indicates the percentage of sales that remains as operating profit. The profit margin shows the percentage of sales that remains for Assured Guaranty.

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • 10 Years

  • 25 Years

  • Max

Gross margin
EBIT margin
Profit margin
Details
Date
Gross margin
EBIT margin
Profit margin
Jan 1, 2021
74.36 %
61.03 %
55.73 %
Jan 1, 2022
95.61 %
33.48 %
18.13 %
Jan 1, 2023
75.60 %
44.43 %
33.28 %
Jan 1, 2024
100.74 %
76.54 %
46.19 %
Jan 1, 2025
92.89 %
84.01 %
63.83 %
Jan 1, 2026 (e)
92.89 %
81.92 %
50.49 %
Jan 1, 2027 (e)
92.89 %
70.91 %
45.67 %
Jan 1, 2028 (e)
92.89 %
71.08 %
48.54 %

Assured Guaranty Stock Revenue, EBIT, Earnings per Share

The Assured Guaranty earnings per share therefore indicates how much revenue Assured Guaranty has generated per share in a given period. The earnings before interest and taxes per share shows how much of the operating profit corresponds to each share. The earnings per share indicates how much of the profit belongs to each share.

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • 10 Years

  • 25 Years

  • Max

Revenue per Share
EBIT per share
Earnings per Share
Details
Date
Revenue per Share
EBIT per share
Earnings per Share
Jan 1, 2021
9.91 USD
6.05 USD
5.53 USD
Jan 1, 2022
11.21 USD
3.75 USD
2.03 USD
Jan 1, 2023
23.55 USD
10.46 USD
7.84 USD
Jan 1, 2024
15.68 USD
12.00 USD
7.24 USD
Jan 1, 2025
15.95 USD
13.40 USD
10.18 USD
Jan 1, 2026 (e)
14.12 USD
12.71 USD
7.13 USD
Jan 1, 2027 (e)
15.68 USD
12.22 USD
7.16 USD
Jan 1, 2028 (e)
17.40 USD
13.60 USD
8.45 USD

Assured Guaranty business model & stock analysis

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a financial company specializing in the insurance of bonds and other financial instruments. The company was founded in 2004 through the merger of Assured Guaranty Corp and ACE Bermuda Insurance Ltd. Assured Guaranty's business model is based on providing additional security to bond investors and other credit securitizations by guaranteeing repayment of the borrowed money by the bond issuer or debtor. This increases the creditworthiness of the securities and facilitates their sale to investors. Assured Guaranty offers its services in various sectors, including municipalities and states, bond insurance, residential mortgage loans, international businesses, and structured financial products. The company is headquartered in Bermuda but has branches in the USA, Europe, Australia, and Latin America. One of the company's main product pillars is municipal insurance, which includes municipal bonds and promissory notes. In this sector, Assured Guaranty guarantees investors in municipal securities timely repayment of the principal and interest, regardless of the financial difficulties a municipality may face during the term of the bond. Assured Guaranty also operates in bond insurance, meaning it provides guarantees for financial instruments issued by companies and governments. Here, the company offers investors additional security by guaranteeing the repayment capacity of the issuers. Another important product line of the company is insurance for residential mortgage loans. In this area, Assured Guaranty guarantees investors in mortgage-backed securities repayment if the borrower fails to fulfill their obligations. Assured Guaranty is a globally active company and also offers international bond insurance. In this case, the company guarantees the repayment capacity of credit securitizations issued by foreign issuers. Last but not least, the company also provides insurance for structured financing products, which include more complex, elaborate financial instruments. These are often bonds whose repayment capacity depends on the development of certain, often complex, factors. In summary, Assured Guaranty is a company that offers services in the field of bond insurance and provides investors with additional security by guaranteeing the repayment of credit securitizations. The company specializes in various business areas, including municipal and bond insurance, insurance for residential mortgage loans, and structured financing products.

Assured Guaranty SWOT Analysis

Strengths

Assured Guaranty Ltd possesses several key strengths that contribute to its success in the market. These strengths include:

  • Strong Financial Position: Assured Guaranty boasts a robust financial position, allowing it to meet its financial obligations and provide reliable guarantees.
  • Industry Expertise: With years of experience in the financial services industry, Assured Guaranty has developed deep expertise and a solid reputation in guaranteeing municipal, infrastructure, and structured finance obligations.
  • Diverse Product Portfolio: The company offers a wide range of insurance and guarantee products, catering to the diverse needs of its clients and ensuring a broad revenue base.
  • Strong Market Presence: Assured Guaranty has a strong market presence globally, with operations in various countries, bolstering its ability to capture opportunities in different markets.

Weaknesses

Despite its strengths, Assured Guaranty Ltd also faces a few potential weaknesses, including:

  • Exposure to Market Fluctuations: As a company operating in the financial market, Assured Guaranty is vulnerable to fluctuations in interest rates, credit markets, and economic conditions that may impact its business performance.
  • Regulatory Compliance: The company operates in a highly regulated industry, making it subject to regulatory changes that may pose challenges for compliance and potentially impact its operations.

Opportunities

Assured Guaranty Ltd can seize various opportunities to further enhance its business prospects, such as:

  • Expansion into New Markets: The company can explore untapped markets or expand its offerings to new regions, diversifying its revenue streams and capturing additional growth opportunities.
  • Rising Demand for Infrastructure Investments: With increasing investments in infrastructure projects globally, Assured Guaranty can leverage its expertise to secure guarantees for these initiatives, creating new revenue streams.
  • Partnerships and Collaborations: Collaborating with financial institutions, government entities, or other industry players can enable Assured Guaranty to enhance its market reach, access new clients, and strengthen its competitive position.

Threats

Assured Guaranty Ltd faces certain threats that could hinder its growth and profitability, including:

  • Intense Market Competition: The market for financial guarantees is highly competitive, with the presence of established players and new entrants. This intensifies pricing pressure and poses a risk to Assured Guaranty's market share.
  • Economic Downturns: Economic downturns or recessions can potentially increase the risk of defaults and diminish the demand for Assured Guaranty's services, impacting its financial performance.
  • Legal and Regulatory Risks: The company may face legal and regulatory challenges in different jurisdictions, potentially leading to reputational damage, financial penalties, or restrictions on its operations.

Assured Guaranty Employees

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • 10 Years

  • 25 Years

  • Max

Assured Guaranty Employees
Details
Date
Assured Guaranty Employees
Jan 1, 2018
- Employees
Jan 1, 2019
- Employees
Jan 1, 2020
- Employees
Jan 1, 2021
- Employees
Jan 1, 2022
- Employees
Jan 1, 2023
- Employees
Jan 1, 2024
- Employees
Jan 1, 2025
- Employees

Assured Guaranty Segments

Assured Guaranty Revenue by Segment (1/4)

  • 3 Years

  • Max

Asset Management Fees
Details
Date
Asset Management Fees
Jan 1, 2019
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2020
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2022
53.00 M USD
Jan 1, 2024
0.00 USD

Assured Guaranty Revenue by Segment (2/4)

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • Max

Asset Management Fees
CLOs, before rebates
Reimbursable fund expenses
CLOs
Wind-down funds
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies
Performance fees
Details
Date
Asset Management Fees
CLOs, before rebates
Reimbursable fund expenses
CLOs
Wind-down funds
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies
Performance fees
Jan 1, 2019
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2020
54.00 M USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2022
0.00 USD
34.00 M USD
21.00 M USD
34.00 M USD
2.00 M USD
17.00 M USD
19.00 M USD
Jan 1, 2024
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD

Assured Guaranty Revenue by Segment (3/4)

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • Max

CLOs, before rebates
Reimbursable fund expenses
CLOs
Wind-down funds
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies
Performance fees
Details
Date
CLOs, before rebates
Reimbursable fund expenses
CLOs
Wind-down funds
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies
Performance fees
Jan 1, 2019
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2020
40.00 M USD
35.00 M USD
21.00 M USD
25.00 M USD
8.00 M USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2022
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2024
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD

Assured Guaranty Revenue by Segment (4/4)

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • Max

Asset Management Fees
CLOs, before rebates
CLOs
Wind-down funds
Performance fees
Opportunity funds
Details
Date
Asset Management Fees
CLOs, before rebates
CLOs
Wind-down funds
Performance fees
Opportunity funds
Jan 1, 2019
18.00 M USD
11.00 M USD
3.00 M USD
13.00 M USD
4.00 M USD
2.00 M USD
Jan 1, 2020
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2022
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2024
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD
0.00 USD

Assured Guaranty Eulerpool Fair Value

Details

Fair Value Estimate

ⓘ

What Is Fair Value?

Fair value is an estimate of what a stock is truly "worth" based on its financial fundamentals, independent of the current market price. If the calculated fair value is above the current share price, the stock may be undervalued — and vice versa. This chart shows three different fair value approaches so you can cross-check them against each other.

Earnings-Based Fair Value

Calculated by multiplying the current earnings per share (EPS) by the average historical P/E ratio over a selected multi-year period. The smoothing over several years filters out temporary spikes or dips. If this fair value exceeds the market price, it suggests the stock is cheap relative to its earning power.

Example: Fair Value (Earnings) 2022 = EPS 2022 × Average P/E 2019–2021

Revenue-Based Fair Value

Derived by multiplying revenue per share by the average historical price-to-sales ratio. This method is particularly useful for companies with volatile or temporarily depressed earnings, as revenue tends to be more stable than profits. It answers: "At what price has the market historically valued each dollar of this company's sales?"

Example: Fair Value (Revenue) 2022 = Revenue per Share 2022 × Average P/S 2019–2021

Dividend-Based Fair Value

Calculated by dividing the dividend per share by the average historical dividend yield. This approach is most relevant for mature, consistently dividend-paying companies. If the resulting fair value is higher than the current price, it implies the stock offers a better yield than its historical average.

Example: Fair Value (Dividend) 2022 = Dividend per Share 2022 ÷ Average Yield 2019–2021

How to Use This Chart

When all three fair value lines converge above the current price, it strengthens the case that the stock is undervalued. When they diverge, investigate why — it may indicate a structural shift in margins, payout policy, or growth rate. The forward estimates on the right extend the analysis using projected fundamentals, helping you assess whether the current price already reflects future growth expectations.

Assured Guaranty historical P/E ratio, EBIT multiple, and P/S ratio

Assured Guaranty annual returns

Details

Annual Return

ⓘ

What This Chart Shows

This chart breaks down 's total annual return into two components: price return (gains or losses from stock price movement) and dividend return (income received from dividend payments). Together, they represent the total return an investor would have earned in each calendar year.

Price Return

Price return measures the percentage change in 's stock price from January 1st to December 31st of each year. Positive bars indicate the stock appreciated; negative bars show a decline. This is the component most investors focus on, but it tells only part of the story — especially for dividend-paying stocks.

Dividend Return

Dividend return represents the income generated from dividends paid during the year, expressed as a percentage of the starting stock price. While it may seem small in any single year (typically 1–4 % for established companies), dividends compound significantly over decades and have historically contributed roughly 40 % of total stock market returns.

What to Look For

Examine how many years showed positive vs. negative returns to gauge consistency. A stock with mostly positive years and small drawdowns suggests lower risk. Also compare 's annual returns to a benchmark index — consistently outperforming the market is a hallmark of a strong investment. Pay attention to the worst years: understanding downside risk is just as important as chasing upside potential.

Assured Guaranty shares outstanding

The number of shares of Assured Guaranty was 49.4 M in 2025. This indicates how many shares Assured Guaranty is divided into. Since shareholders are the owners of a company, each share represents a small portion of the company's ownership.

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • 10 Years

  • 25 Years

  • Max

Number of stocks
Details
Date
Number of stocks
Jan 1, 2021
70.40 M Stocks
Jan 1, 2022
61.00 M Stocks
Jan 1, 2023
58.30 M Stocks
Jan 1, 2024
51.90 M Stocks
Jan 1, 2025
49.40 M Stocks
Jan 1, 2026 (e)
49.40 M Stocks
Jan 1, 2027 (e)
49.40 M Stocks
Jan 1, 2028 (e)
49.40 M Stocks

Assured Guaranty Dividend History

23 years of dividend payments · 10 consecutive increases

YearAnnual DividendYoY ChangePayments
20260.76USDYTD—2×
Mar 6, 20260.38USD↑ 11.8%1/2
May 15, 20260.38USD 0.0%2/2
20251.36USD↑ 9.7%4×
Mar 5, 20250.34USD↑ 9.7%1/4
May 16, 20250.34USD 0.0%2/4
Aug 20, 20250.34USD 0.0%3/4
Nov 19, 20250.34USD 0.0%4/4
20241.24USD↑ 10.7%4×
20231.12USD↑ 12.0%4×
20221.00USD↑ 13.6%4×
20210.88USD↑ 10.0%4×
20200.80USD↑ 11.1%4×
20190.72USD↑ 12.5%4×
20180.64USD↑ 12.3%4×
20170.57USD↑ 9.6%4×

Assured Guaranty dividend history and estimates

In 2025, Assured Guaranty paid a dividend amounting to 1.36 USD. Dividend means that Assured Guaranty distributes a portion of its profits to its owners.

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • 10 Years

  • 25 Years

  • Max

Dividend
Dividend (Estimate)
Details
Date
Dividend
Dividend (Estimate)
Jan 1, 2021
0.88 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2022
1.00 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2023
1.12 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2024
1.24 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2025
1.36 USD
0.00 USD
Jan 1, 2026 (e)
0.76 USD
0.76 USD
Jan 1, 2027 (e)
0.00 USD
1.69 USD
Jan 1, 2028 (e)
0.00 USD
1.88 USD

Assured Guaranty dividend payout ratio

In 2025, Assured Guaranty had a payout ratio of 13.36%. The payout ratio indicates the percentage of the company's profits that Assured Guaranty distributes as dividends.

  • 3 Years

  • 5 Years

  • 10 Years

  • 25 Years

  • Max

Payout ratio
Details
Date
Payout ratio
Jan 1, 2021
15.93 %
Jan 1, 2022
49.19 %
Jan 1, 2023
14.29 %
Jan 1, 2024
17.12 %
Jan 1, 2025
13.36 %
Jan 1, 2026 (e)
21.32 %
Jan 1, 2027 (e)
23.60 %
Jan 1, 2028 (e)
22.25 %

Current Assured Guaranty forecasts and price targets in August 2026

Analyst Price Targets 2026
Δ MOM Price Target
0.00 %
Buy
71.43 % (5)
Hold
28.57 % (2)
Sell
0.00 % (0)
12M Price Target
110.16
Last Price
74.76
Currency
USD
12M Return Potential
47.35 %
LTM Return
0 %

Assured Guaranty Analyst Rating Actions

DateFirmActionRatingReliability
7/17/2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
MaintainedOutperform–
5/19/2026
UBS
UBS
UpgradeNeutralBuy51
3/19/2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
MaintainedOutperform–
11/19/2025
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
MaintainedOutperform–
11/17/2025
UBS
UBS
MaintainedNeutral51
8/13/2025
UBS
UBS
MaintainedNeutral51
11/18/2024
UBS
UBS
MaintainedNeutral51
11/18/2024
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
MaintainedOutperform–
10/17/2024
UBS
UBS
MaintainedNeutral51
8/9/2024
UBS
UBS
MaintainedNeutral51

Eulerpool Reliability Score (0–100): measures how often a firm’s bullish or bearish calls were directionally correct three months later, blended with the average return following its calls. Every rating we record is stored permanently and scores update continuously; firms with fewer than 3 measured calls are not scored yet.

Assured Guaranty Earnings Calls

2025

Assured Guaranty Earnings Estimates & Surprises

DateEPS estimateEPS ActualRevenue EstimatePrice reactionQuarterly report
8/12/20261.53USD-207.08 MUSD-2026 Q2
5/7/20261.69USD-219.61 MUSD-2026 Q1
2/26/20261.69USD-193.42 MUSD-2025 Q4
8/7/20251.54USD-191.80 MUSD-2025 Q2
11/11/20241.36USD-203.39 MUSD-2024 Q3
5/7/20241.28USD-85.92 MUSD-2024 Q1
2/26/20241.19USD-87.31 MUSD-2023 Q4
8/1/20230.99USD-76.13 MUSD-2023 Q2
5/3/20230.90USD-80.18 MUSD-2023 Q1
2/22/20230.85USD-92.31 MUSD-2022 Q4
...

EESG©

Eulerpool ESG Scorecard© for the Assured Guaranty stock

81/100
99
Environment
59
Social
85
Governance
E

Environment

20
Scope 1 - Direct Emissions467
Scope 2 - Indirect emissions from purchased energy1,644
Scope 3 - Indirect emissions within the value chain1,297
Total CO₂ emissions2,111
CO₂ reduction strategy
Coal energy
Nuclear power
Animal experiments
Fur & Leather—
Pesticides—
Palm Oil—
Tobacco
Genetically modified organisms
Climate concept—
Sustainable forestry—
Recycling regulations
Environmentally friendly packaging
Hazardous substances
Fuel consumption and efficiency
Water consumption and efficiency
S

Social

20
Percentage of female employees39
Percentage of women in management—
Percentage of Asian employees—
Share of Asian management—
Percentage of Hispanic/Latino employees—
Hispano/Latino Management share—
Percentage of Black employees—
Black Management Share—
Percentage of white employees—
White Management Share—
Adult content
Alcohol
Weapons—
Firearms
Gambling
Military contracts
Human rights concept
Privacy concept—
Occupational health and safety
Catholic
G

Governance (Corporate Governance)

4
Environmental reporting
Stakeholder Engagement
Call Back Policies
Antitrust law

The Eulerpool ESG Scorecard© is the strictly copyrighted intellectual property of Eulerpool Research Systems. Any unauthorized use, imitation, or infringement will be actively pursued and may lead to significant legal consequences. For licenses, collaborations, or usage rights, please contact us directly via our contact form. Contact Form to us.

Assured Guaranty shareholder structure

% Name
10.64542%
BLACKROCK, INC.
BLACKROCK, INC.
7.22982%
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
5.54650%
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
3.62006%
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
3.48320%
RIVER ROAD ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC
RIVER ROAD ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC
2.89546%
STATE STREET CORP
STATE STREET CORP
...

Assured Guaranty Beneficial Ownership Filings (SEC 13D/G)

Free Float
93.8%
Float Shares
-
Shares Outstanding
-
StakeHolderFiling
25.00%
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
SEC ↗
13.90%
Dexia SA
Dexia SA
SEC ↗
13.90%
Dexia Credit Local S.A.
Dexia Credit Local S.A.
SEC ↗
11.00%
BlackRock, Inc.
BlackRock, Inc.
SEC ↗
11.00%
26-1080669
26-1080669
SEC ↗
10.76%
The Vanguard Group - 23-1945930
The Vanguard Group - 23-1945930
SEC ↗
8.81%
Vanguard Portfolio Management
Vanguard Portfolio Management
SEC ↗
8.60%
04-3542621
04-3542621
SEC ↗
8.40%
(1)Names of reporting persons. BlackRock, Inc.
(1)Names of reporting persons. BlackRock, Inc.
SEC ↗
8.40%
Franklin Advisers, Inc.
Franklin Advisers, Inc.
SEC ↗

Assured Guaranty Executives and Management Board

16 members · avg. age 64 · 31 % women

DF

Mr. Dominic Frederico (72)

President, Chief Executive Officer, Director · since 2003

14.93 M USD

Management

RB

Mr. Robert Bailenson (58)

Chief Operating Officer

6.20 M USD
LC

Ms. Ling Chow (54)

General Counsel, Secretary

4.43 M USD
BR

Mr. Benjamin Rosenblum (51)

Chief Financial Officer

4.15 M USD
SD

Mr. Stephen Donnarumma (62)

Chief Credit Officer

3.37 M USD
HH

Ms. Holly Horn (64)

Chief Surveillance Officer

2.85 M USD
JG

Mr. Jorge Gana (54)

Chief Risk Officer

–

Board of Directors

FB

Mr. Francisco Borges (73)

Independent Chairman of the Board

517,504.00 USD
MB

Mr. Mark Batten (68)

Independent Director

465,000.00 USD
TJ

Mr. Thomas Jones (75)

Independent Director

374,059.00 USD
BH

Ms. Bonnie Howard (71)

Independent Director

369,656.00 USD
AK

Mr. Alan Kreczko (73)

Independent Director

357,609.00 USD
LR

Mr. Lorin Radtke (56)

Independent Director

352,504.00 USD

Assured Guaranty Supply Chain

Assured Guaranty Supply Chain

Correlation: how closely stock prices move together

Same directionNo relationOpposite
6 companies
#Nameβ 1YTrend
1
MBIA
Customer·Insurance·US
0.51
0.70
0.82
0.51
0.73
0.88
—
2
Goldman Sachs Group
Supplier·Capital Markets·US
0.73
0.88
0.81
-0.60
-0.56
0.83
-0.81
3
National Grid
Customer·Multi-Utilities·GB
0.74
-0.13
-0.55
0.52
0.72
0.68
—
4
BlackRock
Supplier·Customer·Capital Markets·US
0.07
0.70
0.87
-0.61
-0.62
0.64
-0.87
5
Getlink
Customer·Transportation Infrastructure·FR
0.61
0.22
-0.40
0.44
0.62
0.59
0.67
#Nameβ 1YTrend
1
Ambac Financial Group
Customer·Insurance·US
0.54
0.03
0.15
-0.58
-0.54
-0.09
—

Frequently asked questions about Assured Guaranty

Assured Guaranty Ltd faces competition from other companies operating in the financial guarantee business. Some of its main competitors in the market include MBIA Inc., Ambac Financial Group, and Syncora Holdings Ltd. These companies also provide financial guarantee services, including insurance and reinsurance solutions, to investors, issuers, and other market participants. Competitors like MBIA Inc., Ambac Financial Group, and Syncora Holdings Ltd contend for market share in the same industry and cater to similar clientele as Assured Guaranty Ltd.

The business model of Assured Guaranty Ltd is centered around providing financial guaranty insurance for various types of debt obligations. As an insurance company, Assured Guaranty provides guarantees for municipal bonds, structured finance obligations, and other fixed-income securities. By assuming the credit risk associated with these instruments, the company helps issuers access the debt markets at more favorable interest rates while giving investors confidence in the timely payment of principal and interest. Assured Guaranty employs rigorous underwriting standards, risk management practices, and financial strength to fulfill its commitment to bondholders. With its expertise and diversified portfolio, Assured Guaranty Ltd plays a crucial role in supporting global finance.

Assured Guaranty Ltd is primarily active in the insurance industry, specifically focusing on financial guaranty and reinsurance services.

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a leading provider of financial guaranty insurance. The company was established in 2004 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Assured Guaranty guarantees obligations in the municipal finance and structured finance markets, ensuring prompt payment of principal and interest on the insured bonds, even if the issuer defaults. With a strong track record of stability and performance, Assured Guaranty has maintained its position as one of the leading companies in the industry. Assured Guaranty Ltd has played a vital role in supporting infrastructure development and facilitating access to capital for various municipalities and corporations worldwide.

Assured Guaranty Ltd has achieved several significant milestones throughout its operations. One notable achievement is its establishment as one of the leading providers of financial guarantees for public finance and structured finance obligations. The company has also successfully maintained its strong credit ratings, demonstrating its ability to effectively manage risks and fulfill its obligations. Assured Guaranty Ltd has expanded its presence on a global scale, with offices and operations in various countries, contributing to its overall growth and success. Additionally, the company has consistently delivered value to its shareholders through its strategic initiatives and robust financial performance.

Assured Guaranty Ltd is primarily present in various countries and regions across the globe. With its headquarters in Hamilton, Bermuda, the company has established a strong presence in the United States, particularly in cities like New York. Assured Guaranty Ltd also operates in other key international financial hubs including London and Tokyo. Through its subsidiaries, the company extends its reach to markets in Canada, Australia, and Europe, among others. This global presence enables Assured Guaranty Ltd to provide insurance and financial services to a diverse range of clients and investors worldwide.

Assured Guaranty Ltd represents strong values and a robust corporate philosophy. The company is committed to providing financial security and enhancing investors' confidence in the public and private sectors. Assured Guaranty focuses on delivering value through prudent risk management and outstanding customer service. With a steadfast commitment to integrity, transparency, and ethical business practices, the company strives to create long-term value for its shareholders. Assured Guaranty's dedication to financial strength, underwriting excellence, and innovation sets it apart in the industry, making it a reliable and trusted partner for investors seeking stability and protection in the market.

Analysts currently set an average price target of 106.08 USD for the Assured Guaranty stock (median: 110.16 USD), implying +41.9 % versus the latest price. The consensus is based on 7 analyst ratings.

Assured Guaranty Analyst Price Targets 2026

7 analysts currently rate the Assured Guaranty stock: 5 recommend buying, 2 holding and 0 selling. For 2026, analysts expect Assured Guaranty to generate revenue of 766.70 M USD and earnings per share of 7.84 USD.

Assured Guaranty Analyst Price Targets 2026

Converted at the current exchange rate, the Assured Guaranty share trades at 66.24 EUR (76.40 USD).

The Assured Guaranty share (AGO) is listed on 3 stock exchanges, including: NYSE (AGO), Frankfurt (DHU.F), München (DHU.MU).

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a leading company in the financial guarantee sector and offers innovative financial solutions to its customers. The company's business model focuses on supporting debt issuers of states, municipalities, local government entities, utilities, and infrastructure financing worldwide. The company is divided into various divisions, including Assured Guaranty US (AG US), Assured Guaranty Europe Ltd (AGE), Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM), and Assured Guaranty Re Ltd (AG Re). Assured Guaranty US (AG US) provides financial guarantees that help debt issuers gain investor confidence and secure their capital in the market. This is achieved by issuing a financial guarantee for debt securities that guarantee the repayment amount and interest. On the other hand, Assured Guaranty Europe Ltd (AGE) focuses on providing financial guarantees for European debt securities, thus supporting the financing needs of European debt issuers. Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) specializes in supporting communities and municipalities by issuing a financial guarantee for municipal debt. AGM enables debt issuers to reduce financing costs and gain investor confidence. Assured Guaranty Re Ltd (AG Re) offers insurance solutions for structured financing worldwide and is the leading provider of reinsurance solutions for insurance and reinsurance companies. However, the core business of Assured Guaranty Ltd is financial guarantee. Financial guarantee is an insurance that helps debt issuers gain investor confidence by guaranteeing the repayment of capital and interest payments. This helps reduce financing costs and increase the availability of capital. In addition, Assured Guaranty Ltd also offers other innovative products such as structured financing to help debt issuers optimize their capital structure and reduce financing costs. Assured Guaranty Ltd stands out from other providers of financial guarantees due to its strong balance sheet and excellent credit ratings. The company has a strong customer base and is able to offer tailor-made solutions to meet their needs. Overall, Assured Guaranty Ltd offers innovative solutions that help debt issuers secure their capital in the market, reduce financing costs, and gain investor confidence. By offering financial guarantees and other innovative products, Assured Guaranty Ltd has established itself as a leading provider of financial solutions in the industry.

The expected revenue of Assured Guaranty is 766.70 M USD. This figure is based on current financial data and reflects the company's business performance.

The expected profit of Assured Guaranty is 387.11 M USD. The net profit reflects the company's profitability after deducting all expenses.

The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of Assured Guaranty is currently 9.75. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to the earnings per share and helps investors assess the valuation of the Assured Guaranty stock.

The price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of Assured Guaranty is currently 4.92. The P/S ratio compares the market capitalization to the annual revenue and serves as a valuation metric for the Assured Guaranty stock.

The Eulerpool Quality Score for Assured Guaranty is 4/10.

The ISIN of Assured Guaranty is BMG0585R1060. The ISIN (International Securities Identification Number) is a globally unique identifier for securities.

The WKN of Assured Guaranty is A0CATL. The WKN (Wertpapierkennnummer) is a six-digit German security identification number.

The ticker of Assured Guaranty is AGO. The ticker symbol is used to trade Assured Guaranty shares on the stock exchange.

Over the past 12 months, Assured Guaranty paid a dividend of 1.36 USD . This corresponds to a dividend yield of about 1.78 %. For the coming 12 months, Assured Guaranty is expected to pay a dividend of 1.69 USD.

The current dividend yield of Assured Guaranty is 1.78 %.

Assured Guaranty pays a dividend, distributed in the months of , , , .

Assured Guaranty paid dividends every year for the past 22 years.

For the upcoming 12 months, dividends amounting to 1.69 USD are expected. This corresponds to a dividend yield of 2.21 %.

Assured Guaranty is assigned to the 'Finance' sector.

In the year 2025, Assured Guaranty distributed 1.24 USD as dividends.

The dividends of Assured Guaranty are distributed in USD.

All fundamentals and in-depth analysis of Assured Guaranty

Our stock analysis for Assured Guaranty stock includes important financial indicators such as revenue, profit, P/E ratio, P/S ratio, EBIT, as well as information on dividends. We also assess aspects such as stocks, market capitalization, debt, equity, and liabilities of Assured Guaranty. If you are looking for more detailed information on these topics, we offer comprehensive analyses on our subpages.

Assured Guaranty Stock
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