HollyFrontier (HFC) Stock Price
HollyFrontier Price
Over the last 19 years HollyFrontier grew revenue by 21.6% annually, reaching 18.39 B USD. Earnings per share have grown at 27.0% per year over the last 19 years. For HollyFrontier, the net margin of 3.6% is down versus 6.2% a few years ago. The payout ratio is around 9% of earnings. Of 21 analysts, 9 rate the stock a buy — an overall Hold consensus.
HollyFrontier stock price
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Stock Price
ⓘHow to Read This Chart
This chart tracks the historical stock price of HollyFrontier over time. You can switch between daily, weekly, and monthly views and select custom time ranges — from a single day to the full available history. Use the toggle to view price changes in absolute currency terms or as a percentage change relative to the starting date.
Total Return vs. Price Return
The "Total Return" toggle includes reinvested dividends on top of the pure price movement. This is critical because dividends can account for a significant portion of long-term returns. Historically, roughly 40 % of the S&P 500's total return has come from dividends. Always compare total return when evaluating a stock's real performance against a benchmark.
Intraday Price Data
When viewing a one-day time frame, the chart displays real-time intraday price movements. This is useful for observing how HollyFrontier stock reacts to market openings, earnings releases, or breaking news throughout the trading session.
What to Look For
Look for long-term trends (sustained upward or downward movements over months and years), support and resistance levels (price zones where the stock repeatedly bounces or reverses), and volatility (how much the price fluctuates day to day). Comparing HollyFrontier's price chart to a market index like the S&P 500 can reveal whether the stock is outperforming or underperforming the broader market.
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HollyFrontier Revenue, EBIT, Net Income
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HollyFrontier Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement
| REVENUEB USD |
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| REVENUE GROWTH% |
| GROSS MARGIN% |
| GROSS INCOMEB USD |
| EBITB USD |
| EBIT MARGIN% |
| NET INCOMEB USD |
| NET INCOME GROWTH% |
| SHARESM |
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023e | 2024e | 2025e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.32 | 15.44 | 20.09 | 20.16 | 19.76 | 13.24 | 10.54 | 14.25 | 17.71 | 17.49 | 11.18 | 18.39 | 18.56 | 24.36 | 27.63 | 29.64 |
| 72.16 | 85.52 | 30.13 | 0.35 | -1.96 | -33.02 | -20.41 | 35.27 | 24.30 | -1.29 | -36.05 | 64.44 | 0.94 | 31.26 | 13.41 | 7.27 |
| 5.42 | 13.03 | 21.15 | 13.73 | 10.82 | 20.93 | 19.56 | 20.29 | 20.53 | 21.09 | 12.74 | 14.29 | 14.29 | 14.29 | 14.29 | 14.29 |
| 0.45 | 2.01 | 4.25 | 2.77 | 2.14 | 2.77 | 2.06 | 2.89 | 3.64 | 3.69 | 1.43 | 2.63 | 2.65 | 3.48 | 3.95 | 4.24 |
| 0.24 | 1.68 | 2.86 | 1.20 | 0.47 | 1.19 | -0.17 | 0.91 | 1.58 | 1.21 | -0.71 | 0.81 | 1.11 | 1.24 | 1.79 | 2.21 |
| 2.85 | 10.90 | 14.23 | 5.93 | 2.36 | 8.98 | -1.59 | 6.39 | 8.90 | 6.94 | -6.32 | 4.39 | 5.99 | 5.10 | 6.49 | 7.44 |
| 0.13 | 1.06 | 1.76 | 0.77 | 0.33 | 0.80 | -0.19 | 0.88 | 1.18 | 0.87 | -0.51 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.76 | 1.35 | 2.44 |
| 269.44 | 696.24 | 66.19 | -56.42 | -57.50 | 146.01 | -123.69 | -563.68 | 33.60 | -25.91 | -158.94 | -228.99 | 4.83 | 8.78 | 78.70 | 80.68 |
| 106.61 | 208.53 | 204.45 | 199.31 | 195.31 | 181.46 | 176.21 | 177.46 | 174.26 | 162.90 | 162.15 | 162.72 | 162.72 | 162.72 | 162.72 | 162.72 |
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Income Statement Key Figures
ⓘRevenue and Revenue Growth
Revenue is the starting point of every income statement — it measures the total sales HollyFrontier generates from its core business. Revenue growth (expressed as year-over-year percentage change) is one of the most important indicators of business momentum. Sustained growth above 10 % annually is generally considered strong, while declining revenue is a serious warning sign that demands investigation.
Gross Margin
Gross margin = (Revenue − Cost of Goods Sold) ÷ Revenue. It reveals what percentage of each dollar of revenue HollyFrontier retains after direct production costs. High gross margins (above 50 %) are typical of asset-light businesses like software and brands, while capital-intensive industries like manufacturing often operate below 30 %. Compare HollyFrontier's gross margin to industry peers and track it over time to spot improving or deteriorating pricing power.
EBIT and EBIT Margin
EBIT measures operating profit — what remains after subtracting all operating expenses (including R&D, sales, and administrative costs) from gross profit. The EBIT margin shows this as a percentage of revenue. Because it excludes interest and taxes, EBIT allows fair comparisons between companies with different debt levels and tax jurisdictions. A rising EBIT margin indicates improving operational efficiency.
Net Income and Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Net income is the company's final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes. Dividing net income by the number of shares outstanding gives you EPS — the single most influential metric in stock valuation. Consistent EPS growth is the primary driver of long-term stock price appreciation. Always check whether EPS growth comes from genuine profit improvement or from share buybacks reducing the share count.
Shares Outstanding
The total number of shares HollyFrontier has issued. A declining share count (through buybacks) boosts EPS and signals management confidence. A rising share count (through stock issuance) dilutes existing shareholders. Always monitor this number alongside EPS to get the full picture of per-share value creation.
Analyst Estimates
The projected figures represent consensus estimates from professional analysts. Compare these forecasts against HollyFrontier's historical growth rates to assess whether expectations are realistic. A company that consistently beats consensus estimates tends to see its stock price rewarded over time, while repeated misses erode investor confidence.
HollyFrontier stock margins
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HollyFrontier Stock Revenue, EBIT, Earnings per Share
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HollyFrontier business model & stock analysis
HollyFrontier SWOT Analysis
Strengths
HollyFrontier Corp has a strong market presence with a diversified portfolio of petroleum refineries, allowing it to capitalize on various product segments. The company also benefits from its strategic locations, which provide access to key markets and transportation infrastructure.
HollyFrontier Corp boasts a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth and strong profitability. This stability enables the company to make strategic investments in modernization and expansion, enhancing its operational efficiency and competitiveness.
Weaknesses
One potential weakness for HollyFrontier Corp is its heavy reliance on petroleum refining activities. This dependency exposes the company to risks associated with oil price volatility, regulatory changes, and environmental concerns. A sudden shift in the market dynamics could impact its profitability.
The company's geographic concentration in the United States may limit its market reach and leave it vulnerable to regional economic fluctuations. Diversifying into international markets could help mitigate this weakness.
Opportunities
HollyFrontier Corp can leverage the growing demand for cleaner and more sustainable energy solutions by investing in renewable or alternative energy sources. This can position the company as a leader in the transition towards a greener economy and align with evolving consumer preferences.
Exploring strategic partnerships, acquisitions, or joint ventures with technology companies could allow HollyFrontier Corp to tap into innovative solutions and technologies that enhance its refining processes, cost-efficiency, and overall operational performance.
Threats
The increasing popularity of electric vehicles and the push for stricter emissions regulations pose a threat to the demand for traditional petroleum products. HollyFrontier Corp needs to closely monitor these industry trends and adapt its business strategies accordingly to avoid being negatively impacted by declining demand.
Various geopolitical factors, such as trade tensions and political instability in oil-producing regions, can disrupt the global supply chain and impact the availability and cost of raw materials for HollyFrontier Corp. The company should develop contingency plans to mitigate such risks.
HollyFrontier Eulerpool Fair Value
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Fair Value Estimate
ⓘWhat Is Fair Value?
Fair value is an estimate of what a stock is truly "worth" based on its financial fundamentals, independent of the current market price. If the calculated fair value is above the current share price, the stock may be undervalued — and vice versa. This chart shows three different fair value approaches so you can cross-check them against each other.
Earnings-Based Fair Value
Calculated by multiplying the current earnings per share (EPS) by the average historical P/E ratio over a selected multi-year period. The smoothing over several years filters out temporary spikes or dips. If this fair value exceeds the market price, it suggests the stock is cheap relative to its earning power.
Example: Fair Value (Earnings) 2022 = EPS 2022 × Average P/E 2019–2021
Revenue-Based Fair Value
Derived by multiplying revenue per share by the average historical price-to-sales ratio. This method is particularly useful for companies with volatile or temporarily depressed earnings, as revenue tends to be more stable than profits. It answers: "At what price has the market historically valued each dollar of this company's sales?"
Example: Fair Value (Revenue) 2022 = Revenue per Share 2022 × Average P/S 2019–2021
Dividend-Based Fair Value
Calculated by dividing the dividend per share by the average historical dividend yield. This approach is most relevant for mature, consistently dividend-paying companies. If the resulting fair value is higher than the current price, it implies the stock offers a better yield than its historical average.
Example: Fair Value (Dividend) 2022 = Dividend per Share 2022 ÷ Average Yield 2019–2021
How to Use This Chart
When all three fair value lines converge above the current price, it strengthens the case that the stock is undervalued. When they diverge, investigate why — it may indicate a structural shift in margins, payout policy, or growth rate. The forward estimates on the right extend the analysis using projected fundamentals, helping you assess whether the current price already reflects future growth expectations.
HollyFrontier historical P/E ratio, EBIT multiple, and P/S ratio
HollyFrontier annual returns
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Annual Return
ⓘWhat This Chart Shows
This chart breaks down 's total annual return into two components: price return (gains or losses from stock price movement) and dividend return (income received from dividend payments). Together, they represent the total return an investor would have earned in each calendar year.
Price Return
Price return measures the percentage change in 's stock price from January 1st to December 31st of each year. Positive bars indicate the stock appreciated; negative bars show a decline. This is the component most investors focus on, but it tells only part of the story — especially for dividend-paying stocks.
Dividend Return
Dividend return represents the income generated from dividends paid during the year, expressed as a percentage of the starting stock price. While it may seem small in any single year (typically 1–4 % for established companies), dividends compound significantly over decades and have historically contributed roughly 40 % of total stock market returns.
What to Look For
Examine how many years showed positive vs. negative returns to gauge consistency. A stock with mostly positive years and small drawdowns suggests lower risk. Also compare 's annual returns to a benchmark index — consistently outperforming the market is a hallmark of a strong investment. Pay attention to the worst years: understanding downside risk is just as important as chasing upside potential.
HollyFrontier shares outstanding
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HollyFrontier stock splits
HollyFrontier Dividend History
22 years of dividend payments
HollyFrontier dividend payout ratio
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Current HollyFrontier forecasts and price targets in July 2026
Analyst Price Targets 2026| Δ MOM Price Target | 0.00 % |
| Buy | 42.86 % (9) |
| Hold | 47.62 % (10) |
| Sell | 9.52 % (2) |
| 12M Price Target | 41.82 |
| Last Price | 0.00 |
| Currency | USD |
| 12M Return Potential | 0 % |
| LTM Return | 0 % |
HollyFrontier Earnings Estimates
| Date | EPS estimate | Revenue Estimate | Quarterly report |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/1/2022 | 1.44USD | 6.32 BUSD | 2022 Q3 |
| 8/1/2022 | 1.19USD | 5.13 BUSD | 2022 Q2 |
| 5/3/2022 | 0.38USD | 4.84 BUSD | 2022 Q1 |
| 2/23/2022 | -0.08USD | 4.19 BUSD | 2021 Q4 |
| 11/3/2021 | 0.78USD | 3.95 BUSD | 2021 Q3 |
| 8/3/2021 | 0.62USD | 3.38 BUSD | 2021 Q2 |
| 5/5/2021 | -0.46USD | 2.69 BUSD | 2021 Q1 |
| 2/24/2021 | -0.72USD | 2.50 BUSD | 2020 Q4 |
| 11/5/2020 | -0.54USD | 2.36 BUSD | 2020 Q3 |
| 8/6/2020 | -0.56USD | 2.06 BUSD | 2020 Q2 |
HollyFrontier shareholder structure
| % | Name |
|---|---|
8.59315% | |
7.63167% | |
7.25089% | |
7.15234% | |
5.19031% | |
3.97378% |
HollyFrontier Executives and Management Board
Mr. Michael Jennings
(55)Chief Executive Officer, Director · since 2021
Mr. Matthew Clifton
(69)Executive Chairman of the Board · since 2011
Lamar Norsworthy
(66)Chairman of the Board · since 2006
Mr. Timothy Go
(54)President, Chief Operating Officer · since 2021
Mr. George Damiris
(61)President, Chief Executive Officer, Director · since 2016
HollyFrontier Supply Chain
HollyFrontier Supply Chain
Correlation: how closely stock prices move together
| # | Name | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -0.20 | 0.63 | 0.73 | 0.63 | 0.84 | ||
| 2 | -0.26 | 0.29 | 0.46 | 0.60 | 0.81 | ||
| 3 | -0.33 | 0.58 | 0.73 | 0.52 | 0.81 | ||
| 4 | -0.23 | 0.51 | 0.68 | 0.75 | 0.80 | ||
| 5 | Permianville Royalty Tr | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| # | Name | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 0.61 | — | — | ||
| 2 | 0.06 | 0.58 | — | — | — | ||
| 3 | -0.45 | 0.57 | 0.41 | -0.36 | -0.18 |
Frequently asked questions about HollyFrontier
HollyFrontier Corp's business model revolves around being an independent petroleum refiner and marketer in the United States. The company's operations involve refining crude oil and selling refined products, such as gasoline, diesel fuel, and asphalt. With a focus on maximizing operational efficiency and leveraging its refining capabilities, HollyFrontier aims to meet the demand for petroleum products across its five refineries strategically located in the Midwest, Southwest, and Rocky Mountain regions. By providing high-quality products to customers, HollyFrontier positions itself as a leading player in the refining industry, contributing to the growth and stability of the energy sector.
HollyFrontier stock
HollyFrontier Peer Group
HollyFrontier Ticker
HollyFrontier FIGI
All fundamentals and in-depth analysis of HollyFrontier
Our stock analysis for HollyFrontier stock includes important financial indicators such as revenue, profit, P/E ratio, P/S ratio, EBIT, as well as information on dividends. We also assess aspects such as stocks, market capitalization, debt, equity, and liabilities of HollyFrontier. If you are looking for more detailed information on these topics, we offer comprehensive analyses on our subpages.